Network Altitude
All else being equal, measuring temperature at a higher altitude gives a colder reading. As the global station network changes, what temperature signal would its changing altitude be expected to produce?
Why altitude changes temperature
The atmosphere is a gas, and gases follow a simple rule: pressure, volume, and temperature are linked. At sea level the full weight of the air column above presses down — air molecules are packed closely together and the pressure is high. Higher up, less air sits above you, so pressure drops, molecules spread further apart, and the air is less dense.
When an air parcel rises it moves into lower pressure and expands. Expansion requires work to be done against the surrounding atmosphere, and in an adiabatic parcel that energy comes from its internal energy, lowering its temperature. The long-term average decrease in temperature with altitude is called the environmental lapse rate.
This lab investigates how changes in the average altitude of the observing network would be expected to influence measured temperatures, considering only the effect of changing station altitude.
This means a thermometer on a hilltop will read colder than one in the valley below — even if both are at the same latitude and longitude, and even if the large-scale climate is identical.
A real example: Innsbruck, Austria sits at 574 m in a valley. The Zugspitze summit, about 30 km away, sits at 2,962 m. Their long-term mean temperature difference is close to 15 °C — almost exactly what the environmental lapse rate predicts for 2,388 m of altitude difference (2.388 × 6.5 ≈ 15.5 °C).
How has the number of active stations changed?
This chart shows how the number of active stations contributing to the network has changed over time.
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How the network's altitude profile has changed
The global temperature measurement network has not been constant. Since the late 1800s, stations have opened and closed, networks have expanded into remote regions, and the mix of coastal, lowland, highland, and mountain stations has shifted year by year.
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Each month's value follows the same general geo-gridding approach used in many global temperature analyses: stations are first filtered to monthly observations with a value and no QC flag, then assigned to roughly 500×500 km grid cells so dense regions do not dominate. Within each occupied cell we average station elevation, then average the occupied-cell means equally to get the monthly network altitude. Yearly values are the average of those monthly network altitudes, and the incomplete final year is excluded.
Only stations with known elevation contribute to either series, so both are computed from the same underlying station set.
As the network's average altitude increases, the model predicts cooler temperatures; as it decreases, the model predicts warmer temperatures.
What do you predict?
Now that you've seen how the network changed, predict what temperature signal you would expect from those altitude changes alone.
Question: Based purely on altitude changes in the network, what pattern would you expect to see in the raw global temperature series?
Options are shown in a random order to avoid nudging your choice.
Make a prediction above to reveal the model.
The altitude signal model
Using the environmental lapse rate we can estimate the temperature signal that would result from changes in the station network's average altitude.
For each year we take the mean elevation of active stations, subtract the mean elevation during the baseline period, and multiply by the environmental lapse rate (0.0065 °C/m).
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Compare the series
The chart below compares the predicted altitude signal with the global temperature anomaly computed from the same filtered station network. Use the legend to overlay the raw or adjusted observations on the model.
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Observed series start hidden. Click the legend to overlay or remove them.
Showing both series relative to the same baseline makes their changes over time directly comparable.
Some features that may be worth examining:
- the similarity or difference in long-term trends
- periods where the two series move together
- periods where they diverge
- differences in year-to-year variability
- whether similarities occur consistently or only during particular periods
- how the relationship changes between the sparse early network and the modern network
The degree to which the two series agree or differ is left for the reader to assess.